Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.317812 0.379150 0.453628 0.552184 0.681440 0.848515 1.086556
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.241872 0.318555 0.425619 0.592469 0.859081 1.295342 2.131827
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.190904 0.269285 0.390260 0.604059 1.007016 1.827479 3.989290
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.155060 0.229645 0.353479 0.594527 1.114842 2.405278 7.149631
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.135123 0.208898 0.339710 0.618553 1.307847 3.430032 15.480229
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.115805 0.184384 0.311689 0.601497 1.396021 4.325672 30.201358
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.103797 0.170088 0.298868 0.612409 1.572890 5.946141 80.548307
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.092659 0.155202 0.281044 0.604222 1.689852 7.677243 239.880167
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.085440 0.146471 0.273975 0.621188 1.917829 11.029243 1972.095020
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.080072 0.140428 0.271318 0.649721 2.232575 17.125903 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.074908 0.133945 0.266163 0.669182 2.542364 26.557910 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.070582 0.128546 0.262420 0.692190 2.917967 44.135215 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066387 0.122968 0.257444 0.710994 3.328188 78.274529 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062388 0.117305 0.251209 0.723657 3.747199 147.595925 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058331 0.110994 0.242070 0.721927 4.076781 276.857439 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054196 0.104021 0.229903 0.703484 4.246031 480.740360 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051923 0.101109 0.228555 0.730961 4.971747 1988.893801 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048468 0.095010 0.217022 0.708687 5.111297 5126.736277 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.046295 0.091765 0.213329 0.721871 5.776365 136059.571793 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.043742 0.087331 0.205369 0.711529 6.116260 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042137 0.085071 0.203678 0.732580 7.088628 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040937 0.083693 0.204506 0.768156 8.594641 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039578 0.081767 0.203265 0.792495 10.123314 NaN NaN